Micr0 caps Safe heaven GTV super ENGG
End of the day Lot of people criticize me as they love sell calls and I do not generate sell calls simply because we are in a long bull market. Thumb rule of success in a bull market is go long and buy dips. Corrections are part and parcel of market and every correction has created wealth for investors whether it was 2008 ( i steered you ) , 2010 2013 2018 2020 2022 and 2024 I have steered you every time with precise reasoning and market has respected my views. I do not care who do not... Read More
Posted On Apr-15,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Diplomacy at its best- India
End of the day As said Donald trump is a smart person where he goes 2 step ahead and one step back and plays a game of fear which panics its opponent and the president makes a good deal. Indian diplomats have understood his game and so there are no comments in media or against trump which is currently faring well for India. China is aggressive from day 1 and the fight between USA and china may in a short term may result catastrophic for India but in a longer period will be a boon. So stay... Read More
Posted On Apr-11,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
India will emerge as a true winner
End of the day Currently market is not accepting a single good news which is coming where 1) RBI is cutting interest rate 2) Liquidity is coming back in market 3) China aggressive stance will make India a better trading partner which will help many sector in coming months 4) FII always prefer a stable and a strong government rather than an aggressive one 5) India market is already corrected from the high and stock are currently trailing at 30-40% discounted rate. PE has contracted. 6) We... Read More
Posted On Apr-09,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Market to bottom.....
End of the day Dow RSI is at 19 and Nifty at 31. No downside expected from here on. Both the indices are at oversold levels. Tariff story will go on for some time and Volatility will continue. We advise to invest with a long term view and avoid leverage trade As we understand Market may bottom out around April 12 and then we may see a few months of consolidation. The result season will start in next 5 days. Numbers are expected to be better than Q2 and Q3. Worst is over in... Read More
Posted On Apr-08,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Do not Panic
End of the day Hold and do not panic is my call. DOW RSI has come down to 19 hence Dow is extremely oversold. Dow will bounce. Also the tariffs is good for US economy hence the fall in DOW is unwarranted. This was psychologically affected. Nifty will bounce as Govt is in action. Avoid IT pharma and add micro caps. Bear market smoke gets in one's eyes and it blinds us to buying opportunities if we are too intent on market... Read More
Posted On Apr-07,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
CNI view TRUMP action
End of the day Special EDITION to prepare for MONDAY Dow fell 2231 and 3500 in 2 days. S and NASDAQ global markets and India all spooked to TRUMP action. SGX is down 616. This is more because China retaliated and put 34% more tariffs on US and now stands at 102% on US. As against this India stands at just 52% probably lowest in South East Asian Countries. Weak opening is certain but how much we need to panic and exit in panic is important call. Gold crashed to 88000 and Silver to 87000.... Read More
Posted On Apr-05,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Stay Calm...
End of the day There is no need to worry or panic as India is at huge advantage in tariffs and there will clear shift in market share. Yet avoid pharma Gems and I T sector as three have 50 bn $ exports out of 81 bn $ rest is negligible. Invest in micro caps real-estate banks nbfc mnc domestic consumption stories. Last 5 big crash in US has come all in Trump regime and it is well known that Trump is a businessman. May be he or his aids had created huge shorts ahead of all key... Read More
Posted On Apr-04,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Tariffs is +ve for India
End of the day Tariffs is not negative for India. India is in lowest bracket whereas JAPAN CHINA Indonesia and Vietnam are in higher bracket means to that extent Indian exports should rise due to lower costs. Also pharma and metals are exempted. My assessment is as under India and the US bilateral trade totaled $124 billion in 2024. India's exports to the US reached $81 billion, while imports from the US stood at $44 billion, giving India a trade surplus of $37 billion.... Read More
Posted On Apr-03,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Tariffs is not an issue
End of the day I have started writing the column in the evening so that you have ample time to read it. Many times you do not have time to read in the morning market hours. However this is due to available time. They may get it shifted to morning any time. ISWL ISWL says “ We would like to inform you that, the Company has signed Terms Sheets, for joint development of Lands situated at Chembur and Wadala, Mumbai, with an institutionally owned renowned real estate... Read More
Posted On Apr-02,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Micro caps started moving
End of the day Market fell not for India not for US but to create fear among the retail and loot them. As we had seen in last settlement there was rally of almost 1900 points in Nifty though it corrected a bit in last 2 days. Now if operators could have gone long there buy could have happened at 24000 and they never buy at life at such high when they had cleared their last month’s positions. Therefore they used the TARIF trigger and created mayhem on the first day of the New Year. IT is... Read More
Posted On Apr-01,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Market flavour Bullish
End of the day As FY 24-25 comes to an end (From 1st April 2024 to 28th March 2025) This is how the Asset Classes performed: GOLD +31.37% Silver +35.56% Crudeoil -13.69% Nifty +5.29% Sensex +4.96% banknifty +9.16% USD INR 2.57% (Rupee Depreciate) BSE blasted to Rs 5500 not for bonus but for the following reason ‘SEBI has proposed that exchanges should stay with F&O expiry on Tuesday & Thursday. This may mean that NSE reverts to expiry on... Read More
Posted On Mar-28,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
New Year should be Brilliant
End of the day Nifty closed 114 up and Sensex 317. In last 30 minutes we saw major buying in BHEL TATA POWER and RBL Bank which suggest these stocks could be in limelight in April series. I feel Nifty will open 111 points gap up tomorrow and all set to cross 24000. The pain of last six months have ended today as there will not be any requirement of tax harvesting, tax planning, cash and we could see major reversal of trend towards 26300 in next 3 months. From... Read More
Posted On Mar-27,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Alas The year is ending tomorrow
End of the day Finally the year is ending tomorrow where lot of investors have faced rest in peace. Yes rest in peace as most of the investors have sold stocks in panic. And I am enjoying as this is the GOLDEN period for buyers. I saw someone selling more than 1 mn shares of CIFL which buyers bought with folded hands ( 3 day delivery volume 8.23 lac shares) . I saw people selling VIPUL Organics till 125 without realizing that stock has corrected from 330 and this is not the price to exit. Only... Read More
Posted On Mar-26,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
24200 in sight next week
End of the day Nifty closed in negative in last 30 minutes though adjusted closing was in green. Mid-caps started firing all guns. Only 2 days left for monthly quarterly weekly yearly expiry which QW in INDIA. On 28th NAV there and fresh books will open and all those stocks which have seen massive unwinding and no buying will see sudden buying. RDB Rasayan e g was up 20% ahead of schedule and so also Global offshore. ISWL hit upper cct. From 4th cct limits will change and stock game will... Read More
Posted On Mar-25,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Global investors + ve Indian -ve
End of the day Sensex was up 1150 points and SBI Rs 782 up 4% proving our BTST call of Friday. Even the call of Rs 750 which we suggested at Rs 10 became Rs 32. We very rarely suggest options trade. We suggested Nifty 23000 call at Rs 114 and again at 31 now became Rs 760. First stock where we gave exit in good profit is SBI. We gave exit not because the rally is over but to prove once again that CNI has different methodology and never exit in losses. I had written this many times that... Read More
Posted On Mar-24,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Opportunity of Wealth Creation
End of the day I am releasing CHAKRY comments on SUNDAY instead of Monday morning as it is bit lengthy and can give you courage to digest. Tarikh pe tarikh, tarikh pe tarikh, tarikh pe tarikh was the famous dialog of Sunny Deol in Damini whereas Mandi pe Mandi, Mandi pe mandi, Mandi pe Mandi was the strong buzz on the stock market. FOMO triggered and no one could buy. Result NIFTY BREAKS 4-YR RECORD OF WEEKLY GAINS. THE INDEX SURGED 4.27% LAST WEEK -- IT'S BEST... Read More
Posted On Mar-23,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Bulls are back
End of the day Sensex up almost 1000 points. In 3 days 2500 points. This is how market recover. Yesterday was the expiry killing. Bears were practically slathered. We had generated buy call on Nifty 23000 options which have given over 100% returns. WQ today in USA and Dow will rise further. Nifty expiry is on 27 th and NAV is on 31st March and this is typical situation where every MF is holding excess cash and they want to pull NAV to makes their books strong else they will not get... Read More
Posted On Mar-21,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Focus on only micro stock as there is no TRAP
End of the day Across the board buying started. We just need to wait and watch. We have reached next barrier of 23100 above which another round of short covering will start. At 23400 we should be seeing 1200 to 1300 points from the low and as observed this happens every time. M K EXIM was hit till Rs 62 day before and yesterday was buyers till Rs72. Co is now starting few new lines which will add excellent top line and bottom line. Stock ready to cross earlier highs. Day by day it will keep... Read More
Posted On Mar-20,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
FPI started cutting shorts Media shorts trapped
End of the day 12% ANTI DUMPING DUTY CAME IN STEEL. FPI cut 20% shorts and cutting more. Watch PSU stocks now. ADD CIFL as heard they are acquiring 6000 crs deposit NBFC though timing is not known. Warbug may buy stake in co. Sensex was up 1200 points. Yes, I had explained all possible reasons yesterday including USA INDIA dynamics. We closed above 22900. Yes we are heading for 23400 23600 and 24000 though some chartist still says Nifty will not cross 23100 and as said... Read More
Posted On Mar-19,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
BUY VIPUL and GLOBAL to start with
End of the day 17th gone. Important dates for market are as under.. 21st March Q W in USA for 7.8 tr $ options expiry with US markets extremely short. USA have dilemma of recession and growth and 99% does not know what reality is. Inflation cooling off. Next 4 days we may see heavy covering in USA. Also we are seeing many hedge funds which entered USA at 42 to 44 k are in hurry to exit and reenter India. It is reflected DXY and USD. Slowly USA is becoming villain. Japan China Canada Mexico... Read More
Posted On Mar-18,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Just 9 trading session left for accumulation
End of the day Extreme extreme pessimism at the moment where all big investors shying to enter market feeling heat. Thought Thursday was typical expiry controlled market to eat the call and puts. I have shared all positive news and the direction of the economy and earnings. This is phase which is combination of March 2020 and March 2025 where COVID as well as march safayi is at work. I am bit confused when I get some queries where I get questions why M K is down why VIPUL is down why... Read More
Posted On Mar-17,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Hang On is the Only Word
End of the day Volatility continues though fundamentals improving which is a typical.march mania. Earnings gdp are on track as explained now even iip and inflation data is super. These are enough pointers to stay invested though fear is enough to create the damage. We are not at fear but the world is. Stay invrsted and wait. Dow is near bottom and reversal is on cards. QW is on 21st March 2025. M S has set a target of 105000 lac in Sensex which is in line with my thinking and is almost... Read More
Posted On Mar-13,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
buy Quality stocks
End of the day Dow 900 down but Nifty and Sensex green what does it suggest ? Is it due to recession as tweeted by TRUMP ? And if yes how much intelligent the fund managers? They exited India (assuming they exited) at 16 P E and bought US at 29 P E ? Wow are they mangers???? Now another angle is Dow minus 900 and India in green means either foi are exhausted or valuations have hit the rock bottom leaving no more room of correction. Dow crashed from 45000 to 41800 whopping 3200 points that is... Read More
Posted On Mar-12,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Avoid High Beta High PE shares
End of the day Markets still giving jerks but veracity has become very low now hence expecting big shock from here is impossible. Dow fall is on expected lines. Now find out yourself which fund managers have moved money from India to USA or China. CHINA next to fall big time. Dow will start rising from 21st March is still 10 days away. Or may be from next week ahead of QW. This is inevitable. Do not read too much in Dow fall as it is for QW which is set for 21st March. 6 tr $ options expiry... Read More
Posted On Mar-11,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
India Story Stands Out
End of the day How do you judge that markets have not only bottomed out but also stabilized and scaling up gradually to catch up once for all. This is important to understand as street is still not comfortable with this week's rally and this is only a dead cat bounce. I have explained the earnings method, economy assessment, gdp side yet mind is not ready to act on this as chartists talk 21700 21000 19700 are certain. I do not trust these and proved in last 25 years that this does not... Read More
Posted On Mar-10,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
PSU will gain massively
End of the day Market Fired. Wait for more fireworks. So far as it is dead cat bounce we will see market rising. Any dips for any reasons is a good opportunity. FOMO is triggered in MF. They will jump with every dip and they have to deploy excess cash before 31st March 2025. I have nothing to add. We will discuss more once Nifty cross 22800. There are many pessimist still believe that 21000 will come hence we do not want repeat our justifications again and again. DYX is falling which... Read More
Posted On Mar-07,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Enjoy the dead cat bounce
End of the day It was pleasant day yesterday where saw Sensex rise 900 + once and closed at 740 even though Dow was - 600. Today is expiry do not how will it behave. Selling slowed down and buying commenced. Many stocks are available at 50% in all universe e g Calcom at 80 from 180, Cte from 140 to 60 , vipul from 329 to 187 cum rights Global from 134 to 74 , Shetron from 200 to 112 , and so on which clearly means low hanging fruits for you. RBI announced Rs 1.86 lac crs liquidity... Read More
Posted On Mar-06,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
India story will be stand alone GLOBALLY now
End of the day Why it seems worst is over..? SBI closed at 716 after long time with good volume and it did not breach the ATP even once which suggest it will rise to 780 very fast and to 900 before March Q results and SBI is the largest beneficiary of rs 12 lac crs spent by poor people on KUMBH. SBI will also see another Rs 5 lac crs crores coming in out of rs 12 lac crs tax savings. SAIL and Bhel closed at best prices. Life will be active on these 2 counters for next few... Read More
Posted On Mar-05,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
No need to panic
End of the day After a detailed note on Monday I have only few lines to add which are as under : Three stocks closed at day’s high and they were SBI Bhel and SAIL. Why you have to decide. Spark will not be admitted unless it rises by another 20 25% and then street will start chasing anything and everything. There is no dearth of liquidity whether it is FPI, DII, HNI or retail. The FEAR is very high which is not allowing any one to step out for shopping. SEBI new chairman... Read More
Posted On Mar-04,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Catching Bottom is Difficult
End of the day We have explained valuations time and again and once more shared with a detailed note on valuations in the YMV. $ Impact is already explained. Market reaction on correction is unwarranted as the same is without considering the rise of 4 times post covid and stock wise 10x plus. We have given investors options. And finally discussed CNI strategy. GDP bounced to 6.2% from 5.4% and now estimated to close FY 25 at 6.5% means Q4 estimate is 7% which is CNI estimate also. Media... Read More
Posted On Mar-03,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments