Stay Calm and relax.................
End of the day I am repeating correction is in last phase yet those still happy to see T V channels and emboss in their minds that markets will collapse for wrong reasons I am happy for them and pray God. Even today T V channels are saying there is uncertainty. Trump first thing in his speech said that tariffs which was creation of media is not general. He will apply tariffs TIT FOR TAT. That means tariffs will apply to countries like Russia and China which is fact favorable to India. He has... Read More
Posted On Jan-22,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Missing Opportunity
End of the day My week end note was well appreciated by some overseas funds though I really do not your reactions as except 2 no one reacted. Well, irrespective of your reactions, irrespective of your criticism on my failures I will be continuing my endeavor to enrich you all with my limited knowledge. I believed market has upside. But today I got a message from street drivers that markets are bottomed out. It was a fantastic news for us and the market. We should see this... Read More
Posted On Jan-20,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Nifty Rocket Launcher
Week End Booster ... early monday chakry comments General perception of street is we do not know something which FPI knows hence they are shorting. It's myth. They were doing same thing in 2008 2011 2014 2017 2021 and even now and every time they have gone wrong. They are undoubtedly shrewd but always high risk takers and they take maximum risk near event. We should focus on facts and circumstance coupled with valuation instead of FPI action as they are the ones who lay the platform for... Read More
Posted On Jan-18,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Post Budget 24500 should come
End of the day What do you call this was dead cat bounce? If yes be happy. I have never seen PSU stocks rising 12 to 18% in dead cat bounce. Yesterday after DOW 700 points Nifty should have been at least 300 t0 400+ but we are international the best markets in the world where all that things happen which never happen in the world. Expiry considerations kept the markets in the range of just 300 points. But there was spark of short covering means 2.9 lac contracts shorts are as it... Read More
Posted On Jan-17,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Buy Fear sell greed
End of the day Quant added Tata Communications in this quarter and it is proved that CNI was much ahead of street as had spotted this stock at Ra 900. Now Ira known baby so every mutual fund will add following Quant. Market has started reversing but the issue of dead cat bounce will never get resolved unless Nifty cross 24500 which is not an easy cake. Till that time all my gyan will be useless hence not elaborating much. I am afraid to pit on record that at 26200 everyone wanted to buy at... Read More
Posted On Jan-16,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Do not look at Indices ... Focus on stocks
End of the day Dead Cat bounce. Wow? I am happy with that too. This is where I differential investors. No one stops you from selling. Profit or loss is the different story. If you have enjoyed profits for 4 years then why are you worried to exit in losses if you are convinced that market is going to fall again? Till yesterday consensus was 22800 and then 22000 also hence it makes no reason for buying. So what is the big deal if CNI team has given exit call in GTV ENGG at Rs 540 that is after... Read More
Posted On Jan-15,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
BUY advise to only brave investors with long term vision
End of the day Dow fall was not related to India and India fall was not related to Dow. Everyone is bearish but I am not even though the prices are collapsing. Right now there is dark cloud and you are in the tunnel. Negative ones will see darkness and positive ones will see light after the end of the tunnel. Tsunami has come which in whatever form but it has come. Now wait for the reconstruction. Those who want to exit can exit in any market. Those who want to wait can wait in any market and... Read More
Posted On Jan-14,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
I am buying Dips....
End of the day Fpi short 2 80 lac contracts and not that too far from central election day of 4 lac contracts. Dow falls almost 700 points after blowout jobs report dashes hopes for more rate cuts. US stocks plunged Friday as investors digested a better-than-expected jobs report that soured expectations of future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. It means US economy is very strong means Dow will bounce back and rate will also be cut bit late. Friday Dow crashed 700 points but... Read More
Posted On Jan-13,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Be Fearless...….
End of the day Every body is saying just sell and leave market. Everybody is taking suddenly about slowdown. Most of the market participant who believed in the Indian growth story have all lost conviction. In our opinion this is the best time to buy. Midcap have corrected and are now available at fair valuation. Large cap have corrected anywhere between 20-25% from the highs. Reliance say a high of 3200 and now trading at 2400. If we assume growth has slowdown than current stock prices has... Read More
Posted On Jan-10,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Starch super bullish sector Now
End of the day Yesterday Markets were down 700 points and again there was fear over the city. This happened even though the KP stocks were fully resolved as per my information. It was again CNI call for 150 points Nifty rally and it was pleased to be 200 points. Tomorrow is weekly expiry and I fear could be repeat of last THURSDAY. Market has made range of 23500 and 24200 and this is exactly the same at 17100 18200 and 15400 and 16000 and after law pendulum swings there was massive rally with... Read More
Posted On Jan-09,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Time to buy BIG
End of the day The hangover of KP selling is still seen. Logically if KP is operating and SEBI banned him with 22 entities there could be more orders coming and more entities will be under radar. The street managers would never like to keep sizable stake in these entities before any such orders are passed. Now big question is when FPI sold 2500 crs who bought 6000 crs ? Do you think our DII this capacity that too with SEBI new regulations of maintaining the buy in 5% WA. ? I do not think so. I... Read More
Posted On Jan-08,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Keep focus on B Gr No big ownership
End of the day Closing Bell: Sensex: 77964.99(-1258.12) Nifty 50: 23616.05(-388.70) Nifty bank: 49922.00 (-1066.80) Nifty top Gainers: Apollo Hospital: 7,429.15 (+130.80 ) TATA Cons. Prod: 946.90 (+7.45) Titan Company: 3,470.40 (+18.75) HCL Tech: 1,953.05 (+6.40) Nifty top 5 losers: Tata steel: 132.18 (-6.18 ) Trent: 6,998.35 (-309.35) BPCL: 284.85( -11.55) Coal India: 378.75( -14.90) NTPC: 327.50( -12.35) India lost test match not for Bumrah presence but for not... Read More
Posted On Jan-07,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
AKAR and TIN keep on RADAR
End of the day We were least concerned with 720 points Sensex fall on Friday because of the that this was DUE to 2 reasons 1) fresh shorting by FPI by 29K contracts to take SHORTS to 230 lac contracts. 2) That this was engineered through bringing down IT and bank shares which have heavy weight on Indices. Stocks which down were TCS Tech Mahindra HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. Thus the engineering was to create fear among street participants. Fact though remain that 2.30 lac contracts covering is... Read More
Posted On Jan-06,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Buy micro caps possibility of 10x is the highest
End of the day FPI cut just 31 K contracts and Nifty was 440 up. They are still short 2.01 lac contracts. Watch it. CHINA epidemic news was fake. Dow will rise 700 points today. Buy only cash stocks till March 2025. F and O stocks dare to enter only above 25000. Focus on behaviors of the stock. Wherever lower trades are done to misguide investors are the biggest jockey of long calls. Only in micro caps you can expect 10x possiblity like AK Spintex and Arihant foundation. NO large caps... Read More
Posted On Jan-03,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Buy stocks discussed if you like
End of the day Bears trapped. 234 K Nifty contracts shorts. Difficult to see getting it covered easily, first time after elections such big positions are short trapped. I think Nifty will head up 24080 is the tipping point after which no stopping till 25000. I had mentioned this target even before vallan started. Well those who believe CNI will benefit. My worth will be realized only when 25000 gets crossed. I am off annual members to get in touch with to understand markets as it is difficult... Read More
Posted On Jan-02,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Buy solid stocks in B gr
End of the day Indian markets are passing the pass. They shorted IT and bought battered stocks like TAMO BHEL and SAIL. Why this happen..? They shorted 2 lac contracts of Nifty and how do they cut it..? So be bearish. We have habit of following firung and we are doing today also. If they say bearish we become bearish. Currently markets are oversold and they have massive short positions. This is unlikely to cut unless Nifty rise 5 to 10% % so keep rotating strike from one sector to another... Read More
Posted On Jan-01,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Bears getting trapped... No one knows when FPI turn
End of the day Market closed negative with high volatility which means fear. Fear is created and it will be there. I have shared view of the economy, budget, earnings and valuations. There is no need to further elaborate markets. Bears will always have 19700 view and bulls 30000. Which will come first only time will tell us. We continue with our endeavor to create wealth and buy stocks accordingly. We are least concerned with who sells what and with what... Read More
Posted On Dec-31,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Fear over the City
End of the day Friday was the first day of the new settlement and it was lackluster as many fund managers were absent and there was no volumes. However there was good activity in the cash counters. Nifty crossed once 24080 as expected yet no short covering has happened rather fresh shorting was seen. Reason Street is extremely bearish with Nifty 19700 target. RSI though stands at 36 suggest market cannot fall. Total shorts as on the expiry day were 2.29 lac contracts out of which FPI... Read More
Posted On Dec-30,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Buy for wealth creation
End of the day Sensex though closed 53 points in green the WA -.39 which is still a great achievement of Nifty as street was expecting 21000 and/or very bad markets. I had explained in detail how market is behaving and why. FPI have no option than to come to India. It is well structured or engineered phase where they sell in JHUND and buy in Jhund. We will see rally like post SEPT 2021. Even though market is not in my hands I have tried to share the fine prints to... Read More
Posted On Dec-27,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
All is Well
End of the day Today is the last day of this settlement with 2.5 lac contracts shorts (FPI alone 1.72 lac contracts) I do not think market can collapse. Those who are in dream of 21000 I congratulate them with no more inputs. I know my job and least bothered about the critics. I know every mango box will have at least one rotten mango. Well, I have to service 29000 members and heard no complaints as they made money. Best are our military men who too are building wealth and portfolio. Only... Read More
Posted On Dec-26,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
43% rolls done and 2 sessions left
End of the day DH India closed near 190 and EMMBI at Rs 170. Why did we asked you to book partial profits in both these stocks though the story is intact...? Same thing we did in AKSPINTEX also. The reason is immaturity. Many members send useless messages without realizing that our job is to identify the stocks and not to give guaranteed returns as we are not in that business. We have no control over any stocks. We did this with GLOBAL also and post that stock rose to Rs 135. LGB we gave... Read More
Posted On Dec-24,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
CNI is in BUY mode as usual
End of the day F and O is undesirable as explained from time to time and yet those who are doing are at their own risks and perils. We at CNI never give technical buy calls as our call are all positional. Hence those who do it have to have their own stop losses. Dow on Friday was up 808 points once though closed at 500 + thanks passage of funding issue and end of QE. With 1100 points recovery from the low the RSI has improved from 29 to 38 proving that whenever RSI goes below 30 markets... Read More
Posted On Dec-23,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
JUST buy....................................
End of the day Don’t panic. Accumulate stocks.QW will end today. DOW will rise and nifty will follow. There is no reason to stay short. Buy Reliance and Tata motors. GO long on IT. In midcap buy MK exim , AKAR auto , shetron. LGB forge we had recommended at 10 has doubled in just 2 months. Same way shetron will be the bull eye. Keep watch on the stock. “It is a comfortable feeling to know that you stand on your own ground. Land is about the only thing that can’t... Read More
Posted On Dec-20,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Things to settle soon.......................
End of the day One word I will describe current markets are consolidation. Spring is getting pressed with fpi and pro shorts at 1.35 lsc contracts. No doubt policy announcements are bearish in short term and bulling on long term we cannot forget that markets have digested all major policy changes in last 90 days. Who knew Mafatlal will rise 50%. This means patience has delivered. This will happen with each and every stock picked by CNI. In fact all the stocks are above buy initiation price... Read More
Posted On Dec-19,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
CNI pics at its best..................
End of the day Who is drawing cards in market? Yesterday 2 big announcement came which saw market spook more than 1000 points. First it was for Fpi that they are not allowed to short in derivatives against stock holding ?? Why this notification came and when ? As per original rule fpi were not allowed to short in stocks but they are allowed to short 40% of their exposure in Nifty which I have mentioned many times in my column. I do not when this rule was relaxed ??? See following... Read More
Posted On Dec-18,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Packaging needs re-rating..............
End of the day……………… Every day market open negative, sgx also remains negative most of the time but market goes up. Why ???? Fpi and pro put together is short 135 lac contacts which is clear indication of market not falling big for sure. 24800 25000 is kept as resistance zone to confuse you. Once 25000 crossed there is no stopping. I am repeating again 16600 has to come and will come. Emmbi was under strong action and emmbi is one of the packaging... Read More
Posted On Dec-17,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Stay Long.........................
End of the day………………….. Thursday expiry blues not yet over followed by Friday mania. Once down 1000 s3nsex closed at 850 + means from a low 1850+ recovery. Why??? Culprit is media and social media. After 200 250 points down in Dow media and social media spread that market rally is over it will crash below 24000. So traders were forced and compelled to short when Sensex was down 500 600 points. Their shorting along with some stop losses took... Read More
Posted On Dec-16,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Metal to lead the pack.................
End of the day……………. Market closed on negative note due to weekly expiry but Bse was at its best as volumes on bse are likely to improve due to closure of multiple expiry. Steel ministry has announced anti-dumping duty which is good for steel sector. Sail has all legs for further upside. In fact q3 results will be super-duper for Sail. My target of 134 160 207 are intact. Akar auto finally catching up with volumes and I am happy that all retail investors... Read More
Posted On Dec-13,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Midcap to fire................
End of the day After almost 4 months we have seen positions getting built up in f and o in bhel and sail. In bhel we saw 14% concentrated positions and in SAIL around 9 %. Let us see how these two stocks do wonders in Dec series. Bhel yesterday moved to 254 and looks like next innings is about to start. What is street is forgetting is that Bhel is not getting new orders but also announced execution of 9 GW which is as good as 70 to 90 k crs orders. It means co will earn 7000 to 10000 crs... Read More
Posted On Dec-12,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Market to stay strong..................
End of the day……………….. We were bullish on SHIVAM AUTO but it seems co will not be able to execute defense orders as they are short of working capital. Hence we suggest EXIT from SHIVAM auto completely and convert the same to AKAR AUTO. SHIVAM AUTO Eq 25 crs promoters 75% revenue 500 crs IBITDA 80 crs net loss debt 370 crs M C Rs 600 crs 4 plants Price Rs 55 for 2 paid up Vs Akar Auto Eq just 5 crs revenue 400 crs promoters 75%IBITDA... Read More
Posted On Dec-11,2024 / Categories : Chakry Comments