Market flavour Bullish
End of the day As FY 24-25 comes to an end (From 1st April 2024 to 28th March 2025) This is how the Asset Classes performed: GOLD +31.37% Silver +35.56% Crudeoil -13.69% Nifty +5.29% Sensex +4.96% banknifty +9.16% USD INR 2.57% (Rupee Depreciate) BSE blasted to Rs 5500 not for bonus but for the following reason ‘SEBI has proposed that exchanges should stay with F&O expiry on Tuesday & Thursday. This may mean that NSE reverts to expiry on... Read More
Posted On Mar-28,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
New Year should be Brilliant
End of the day Nifty closed 114 up and Sensex 317. In last 30 minutes we saw major buying in BHEL TATA POWER and RBL Bank which suggest these stocks could be in limelight in April series. I feel Nifty will open 111 points gap up tomorrow and all set to cross 24000. The pain of last six months have ended today as there will not be any requirement of tax harvesting, tax planning, cash and we could see major reversal of trend towards 26300 in next 3 months. From... Read More
Posted On Mar-27,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Alas The year is ending tomorrow
End of the day Finally the year is ending tomorrow where lot of investors have faced rest in peace. Yes rest in peace as most of the investors have sold stocks in panic. And I am enjoying as this is the GOLDEN period for buyers. I saw someone selling more than 1 mn shares of CIFL which buyers bought with folded hands ( 3 day delivery volume 8.23 lac shares) . I saw people selling VIPUL Organics till 125 without realizing that stock has corrected from 330 and this is not the price to exit. Only... Read More
Posted On Mar-26,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
24200 in sight next week
End of the day Nifty closed in negative in last 30 minutes though adjusted closing was in green. Mid-caps started firing all guns. Only 2 days left for monthly quarterly weekly yearly expiry which QW in INDIA. On 28th NAV there and fresh books will open and all those stocks which have seen massive unwinding and no buying will see sudden buying. RDB Rasayan e g was up 20% ahead of schedule and so also Global offshore. ISWL hit upper cct. From 4th cct limits will change and stock game will... Read More
Posted On Mar-25,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Global investors + ve Indian -ve
End of the day Sensex was up 1150 points and SBI Rs 782 up 4% proving our BTST call of Friday. Even the call of Rs 750 which we suggested at Rs 10 became Rs 32. We very rarely suggest options trade. We suggested Nifty 23000 call at Rs 114 and again at 31 now became Rs 760. First stock where we gave exit in good profit is SBI. We gave exit not because the rally is over but to prove once again that CNI has different methodology and never exit in losses. I had written this many times that... Read More
Posted On Mar-24,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Opportunity of Wealth Creation
End of the day I am releasing CHAKRY comments on SUNDAY instead of Monday morning as it is bit lengthy and can give you courage to digest. Tarikh pe tarikh, tarikh pe tarikh, tarikh pe tarikh was the famous dialog of Sunny Deol in Damini whereas Mandi pe Mandi, Mandi pe mandi, Mandi pe Mandi was the strong buzz on the stock market. FOMO triggered and no one could buy. Result NIFTY BREAKS 4-YR RECORD OF WEEKLY GAINS. THE INDEX SURGED 4.27% LAST WEEK -- IT'S BEST... Read More
Posted On Mar-23,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Bulls are back
End of the day Sensex up almost 1000 points. In 3 days 2500 points. This is how market recover. Yesterday was the expiry killing. Bears were practically slathered. We had generated buy call on Nifty 23000 options which have given over 100% returns. WQ today in USA and Dow will rise further. Nifty expiry is on 27 th and NAV is on 31st March and this is typical situation where every MF is holding excess cash and they want to pull NAV to makes their books strong else they will not get... Read More
Posted On Mar-21,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Focus on only micro stock as there is no TRAP
End of the day Across the board buying started. We just need to wait and watch. We have reached next barrier of 23100 above which another round of short covering will start. At 23400 we should be seeing 1200 to 1300 points from the low and as observed this happens every time. M K EXIM was hit till Rs 62 day before and yesterday was buyers till Rs72. Co is now starting few new lines which will add excellent top line and bottom line. Stock ready to cross earlier highs. Day by day it will keep... Read More
Posted On Mar-20,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
FPI started cutting shorts Media shorts trapped
End of the day 12% ANTI DUMPING DUTY CAME IN STEEL. FPI cut 20% shorts and cutting more. Watch PSU stocks now. ADD CIFL as heard they are acquiring 6000 crs deposit NBFC though timing is not known. Warbug may buy stake in co. Sensex was up 1200 points. Yes, I had explained all possible reasons yesterday including USA INDIA dynamics. We closed above 22900. Yes we are heading for 23400 23600 and 24000 though some chartist still says Nifty will not cross 23100 and as said... Read More
Posted On Mar-19,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
BUY VIPUL and GLOBAL to start with
End of the day 17th gone. Important dates for market are as under.. 21st March Q W in USA for 7.8 tr $ options expiry with US markets extremely short. USA have dilemma of recession and growth and 99% does not know what reality is. Inflation cooling off. Next 4 days we may see heavy covering in USA. Also we are seeing many hedge funds which entered USA at 42 to 44 k are in hurry to exit and reenter India. It is reflected DXY and USD. Slowly USA is becoming villain. Japan China Canada Mexico... Read More
Posted On Mar-18,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Just 9 trading session left for accumulation
End of the day Extreme extreme pessimism at the moment where all big investors shying to enter market feeling heat. Thought Thursday was typical expiry controlled market to eat the call and puts. I have shared all positive news and the direction of the economy and earnings. This is phase which is combination of March 2020 and March 2025 where COVID as well as march safayi is at work. I am bit confused when I get some queries where I get questions why M K is down why VIPUL is down why... Read More
Posted On Mar-17,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Hang On is the Only Word
End of the day Volatility continues though fundamentals improving which is a typical.march mania. Earnings gdp are on track as explained now even iip and inflation data is super. These are enough pointers to stay invested though fear is enough to create the damage. We are not at fear but the world is. Stay invrsted and wait. Dow is near bottom and reversal is on cards. QW is on 21st March 2025. M S has set a target of 105000 lac in Sensex which is in line with my thinking and is almost... Read More
Posted On Mar-13,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
buy Quality stocks
End of the day Dow 900 down but Nifty and Sensex green what does it suggest ? Is it due to recession as tweeted by TRUMP ? And if yes how much intelligent the fund managers? They exited India (assuming they exited) at 16 P E and bought US at 29 P E ? Wow are they mangers???? Now another angle is Dow minus 900 and India in green means either foi are exhausted or valuations have hit the rock bottom leaving no more room of correction. Dow crashed from 45000 to 41800 whopping 3200 points that is... Read More
Posted On Mar-12,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Avoid High Beta High PE shares
End of the day Markets still giving jerks but veracity has become very low now hence expecting big shock from here is impossible. Dow fall is on expected lines. Now find out yourself which fund managers have moved money from India to USA or China. CHINA next to fall big time. Dow will start rising from 21st March is still 10 days away. Or may be from next week ahead of QW. This is inevitable. Do not read too much in Dow fall as it is for QW which is set for 21st March. 6 tr $ options expiry... Read More
Posted On Mar-11,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
India Story Stands Out
End of the day How do you judge that markets have not only bottomed out but also stabilized and scaling up gradually to catch up once for all. This is important to understand as street is still not comfortable with this week's rally and this is only a dead cat bounce. I have explained the earnings method, economy assessment, gdp side yet mind is not ready to act on this as chartists talk 21700 21000 19700 are certain. I do not trust these and proved in last 25 years that this does not... Read More
Posted On Mar-10,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
PSU will gain massively
End of the day Market Fired. Wait for more fireworks. So far as it is dead cat bounce we will see market rising. Any dips for any reasons is a good opportunity. FOMO is triggered in MF. They will jump with every dip and they have to deploy excess cash before 31st March 2025. I have nothing to add. We will discuss more once Nifty cross 22800. There are many pessimist still believe that 21000 will come hence we do not want repeat our justifications again and again. DYX is falling which... Read More
Posted On Mar-07,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Enjoy the dead cat bounce
End of the day It was pleasant day yesterday where saw Sensex rise 900 + once and closed at 740 even though Dow was - 600. Today is expiry do not how will it behave. Selling slowed down and buying commenced. Many stocks are available at 50% in all universe e g Calcom at 80 from 180, Cte from 140 to 60 , vipul from 329 to 187 cum rights Global from 134 to 74 , Shetron from 200 to 112 , and so on which clearly means low hanging fruits for you. RBI announced Rs 1.86 lac crs liquidity... Read More
Posted On Mar-06,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
India story will be stand alone GLOBALLY now
End of the day Why it seems worst is over..? SBI closed at 716 after long time with good volume and it did not breach the ATP even once which suggest it will rise to 780 very fast and to 900 before March Q results and SBI is the largest beneficiary of rs 12 lac crs spent by poor people on KUMBH. SBI will also see another Rs 5 lac crs crores coming in out of rs 12 lac crs tax savings. SAIL and Bhel closed at best prices. Life will be active on these 2 counters for next few... Read More
Posted On Mar-05,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
No need to panic
End of the day After a detailed note on Monday I have only few lines to add which are as under : Three stocks closed at day’s high and they were SBI Bhel and SAIL. Why you have to decide. Spark will not be admitted unless it rises by another 20 25% and then street will start chasing anything and everything. There is no dearth of liquidity whether it is FPI, DII, HNI or retail. The FEAR is very high which is not allowing any one to step out for shopping. SEBI new chairman... Read More
Posted On Mar-04,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Catching Bottom is Difficult
End of the day We have explained valuations time and again and once more shared with a detailed note on valuations in the YMV. $ Impact is already explained. Market reaction on correction is unwarranted as the same is without considering the rise of 4 times post covid and stock wise 10x plus. We have given investors options. And finally discussed CNI strategy. GDP bounced to 6.2% from 5.4% and now estimated to close FY 25 at 6.5% means Q4 estimate is 7% which is CNI estimate also. Media... Read More
Posted On Mar-03,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Do not Panic IF cant BUY Do not Sell at least
End of the day Last 5 months was horrible for market as bears were in charge from 86000 to 74000. Naturally there is confidence crisis and hence we are hearing that Sensex will go below 70000 and some says even 60000 can come and exactly at this time the skill of investors comes into play and test the patience. Everyone ask simple question what is wrong with X stock it has fallen 50% it has fallen 60% it has fallen 70% etc etc. There is nothing wrong. What goes up with strong demand... Read More
Posted On Feb-28,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Do not try to time. Pick your stocks
End of the day Fpi short 1.5 lac shares which is higher than the open interest. They are shorting and shorting as they want to show Indian markets are dead but the fact is something else. How is that in last 5 months we are seeing fpi sell is matching with fii buying? ? And when market rise exactly reverse happen. It means the fpi and dii owners are same and they match trades hence direction is always is the desired one. It is like hni changing hands and media says hni bought and public... Read More
Posted On Feb-27,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Recovery on cards.................
End of the day \r\nMarket Outlook: I forecasts that the Indian stock market will recover and test the 28,000 mark by 2025. He believes that the current market dip is an excellent opportunity for investors to build their portfolios.\r\nValue Buying: I encourage investors to focus on undervalued stocks rather than being swayed by daily market fluctuations. He suggests holding investments for 6 to 8 months to potentially achieve returns of around 50%.\r\nEarnings Growth: i note that after a... Read More
Posted On Feb-25,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Relax and hold stocks.................
End of the day Even though Sensex was down 440 points there was no pain on FRIDAY. The fall was structured through Larsen HDFC HCL Techno TCS TATA MOTORS and MAHINDRA by and large using TESLA news which has really no impact on AUTO sector. TESLA is rather beneficial as they will create market and as TAMO EV costs are lower than TESLA they will more selling. In any case TAMO has JLR driver and not EV alone. In case TATA has major market share in EV. In fact in the morning only CNI told that... Read More
Posted On Feb-24,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Market is Safe
End of the day India is a secular growth story and is in a structural bull run. There is no second view on this. Our CMD has issued a 18 minutes interview to a business magazine where all the issues regarding economy earnings growth gdp inflation currency fluctuations impact etc are dealt with in public domain. Thus we reiterate our belief and hold 28888 views. Stocks you all you. M k exim promoters added 14000 shares as per Sast disclosure so the faith is there. Price is result is 2 factor... Read More
Posted On Feb-21,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Buy CIFL
End of the day OLD economy stocks are now going up as they are shying to fall below certain levels which FPI has been failing to press it. Big broking houses following double standards. Issuing statement in public domain that mid-caps will correct more whereas they are enquiring blocs in micro and small caps virgin ideas. In last 2 days more than seven deals are closed in listed and unlisted space. Ask yourself one question: why did FPI bought 8000 crs BHARATI stuff when they... Read More
Posted On Feb-20,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Market bottomed out Pick value stocks
End of the day Yesterday I had mentioned the yield difference and today I am reading from MNC house which is given below. Full report is put in R I section for your reading and confidence building. “The current difference between the earnings yield and bond yields has moderated to -1.8%. Historically, when this difference falls below -2%, a major market bottom is usually near. Even in 2022, when the Nifty formed a bottom around 15,200 in June, the difference dropped... Read More
Posted On Feb-19,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
buy CIFL
End of the day My call market bottomed out. Today market made 4th higher bottom which always suggest worst is over. Why? Various reasons 1 The 10 year bond yield have fallen below 10 year equity yield making bonds costly than equity 2 Q3 earnings season ended with 11% earing growth as against 4% in Q2 3 Q4 will have 15% growth thanks to Rs 25 lac crs spending in KUMBH MELA 4 FY 26 Q1 will have 15% + earnings thanks to 11 lac crs savings due to Rs 12 lacs no tax 5 Market corrected... Read More
Posted On Feb-18,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
buy CIFL
End of the day We have migrated to new platform with same data bank and same customer base. Even app will remain same though there could some connectivity issus in I.phone as it require apple permission and it is never automatic. You may contact direct line for help and any inconvenience is regretted. Now it is CNI INFOXCHANGE pvt Ltd and the brand name CNI GLOBAL remains the same. For all practical purposes it will be your old CNI only and i will be referring this as CNI only. Tomorrow... Read More
Posted On Feb-17,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments
Learning Process
End of the day I do not think I need to impress negative minds. For positive ones please see the following strategy if suits you. Designing a buying strategy in a falling market requires a thoughtful and disciplined approach. Here's a step-by-step guide to help you navigate: Set Clear Objectives Define your investment goals: Determine what you want to achieve through your investments, such as long-term growth or income generation. Establish a risk tolerance: Decide how much... Read More
Posted On Feb-14,2025 / Categories : Chakry Comments